Possible Futures for Software

No one knows what software technology will be in twenty years. However, there are variables that will probably drive the outcome, for example, hardware improvements, success at managing large projects, and demand for "secure computing". In this talk, I consider four scenarios for the software future, based on different values for these drivers. There are things to love and things to loathe in these scenarios, but consideration of their various onset symptoms could be helpful in adapting to (or affecting) what really happens in our future.